A Psychological Model of Self-Reported Physical Health in Insufficiently Active Adults: The Roles of Mindfulness, Body Image, and Perceived Social Acceptance
To test a cross-sectional structural model linking mindfulness and perceived social acceptance with self-reported physical health, directly and indirectly through body image, among insufficiently active adults. This descriptive-correlational study included 400 adults aged 18–59 years in Tehran, Iran, recruited through multistage cluster sampling in 2026. Insufficient physical activity was defined as <600 MET-min/week on the International Physical Activity Questionnaire–Short Form. Mindfulness, body image, perceived social acceptance, and self-reported physical health were assessed using questionnaires. The hypothesized pathways were tested using structural equation modeling in SPSS and AMOS; indirect effects were evaluated with 5,000 bootstrap resamples. Body image was the strongest direct correlate of physical health (β = .43). Mindfulness and perceived social acceptance were positively associated with body image (β = .39 and β = .32, respectively), and both had smaller direct associations with physical health (β = .18 and β = .13). The standardized indirect effects through body image were .168 (95% CI [.120, .224]) for mindfulness and .138 (95% CI [.094, .188]) for social acceptance. The model accounted for 34% of the variance in body image and 48% of the variance in physical health and showed acceptable fit (χ²/df = 2.18, CFI = .941, TLI = .933, RMSEA = .055, SRMR = .052). In this cross-sectional sample, mindfulness and perceived social acceptance were associated with better self-reported physical health partly through more favorable body image. Longitudinal research using objective health and activity measures is required before causal or intervention claims can be made.
A Prospective Analysis of Factors Influencing the Pro-Environmental Behavior of Iranian Citizens: Environmental Governance and Structural Equation Modeling
Pro-environmental behavior among citizens is a fundamental component of sustainable development and the mitigation of contemporary environmental crises. International experience indicates that environmental policies rarely produce durable outcomes without informed and responsible public participation. Understanding the determinants of pro-environmental behavior is therefore particularly important in urban communities confronted with air pollution, waste generation, excessive energy use, water scarcity, and degradation of natural resources. This study prospectively analyzed the cultural, cognitive, value-based, and ethical factors associated with the pro-environmental behavior of Iranian citizens. The theoretical framework drew on the Theory of Planned Behavior, Norm-Activation Theory, Value-Belief-Norm theory, and contemporary explanations of the knowledge-action gap. The study was applied in purpose and descriptive-correlational in design. The population consisted of residents of District 12 of Tehran, and data were collected from 390 participants using a researcher-developed questionnaire. Partial least squares structural equation modeling was used for data analysis. Environmental education, environmental awareness and knowledge, environmental values, and environmental ethics all had positive and statistically significant effects on pro-environmental behavior. Environmental ethics showed the strongest direct effect and significantly mediated the relationships of education, awareness, and values with behavior. The model explained 71% of the variance in pro-environmental behavior. These findings indicate that increasing general knowledge alone is insufficient. Effective policy requires the reinforcement of biocentric values, the internalization of moral responsibility toward nature, and educational and cultural programs adapted to citizens' social context.
Feasibility Model for Implementing a Sport Tourism Destination Management System Based on Strategic Foresight in Northwestern Iran
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Sport tourism has become a strategically important field for regional development, particularly in destinations that combine natural assets, sport facilities, cultural attractions, and cross-border market potential. However, sport tourism destinations often remain fragmented when public agencies, tourism businesses, sport organizations, and technology providers operate without an integrated destination management system. Objective: This study aimed to develop and test a feasibility model for implementing a sport tourism destination management system in Northwestern Iran using a strategic foresight perspective. The study used an applied descriptive-correlational field design. The statistical population consisted of managers and experts from sport and youth departments, cultural heritage and tourism organizations, active travel-service offices, and university faculty members in sport management across Northwestern Iran. A Delphi procedure was used to refine indicators, and 153 completed questionnaires were analyzed. Data analysis was conducted using SPSS and SmartPLS with partial least squares structural equation modeling. The Delphi procedure produced consensus after two rounds. In the structural model, all four feasibility dimensions had positive and significant effects on the implementation of the sport tourism destination management system: managerial factors (β = 0.84, t = 33.58, p < 0.001), economic factors (β = 0.83, t = 29.17, p < 0.001), technological factors (β = 0.83, t = 27.26, p < 0.001), and environmental factors (β = 0.72, t = 10.11, p < 0.001). The results indicate that managerial coordination is the primary driver of implementation, followed closely by economic and technological readiness. Successful implementation requires integrated governance, investment planning, digital infrastructure, environmental and stakeholder coordination, legal support, human-resource development, and public-private cooperation. The proposed model offers a practical framework for improving sport tourism competitiveness and sustainable destination development in Northwestern Iran. |
Developing a Paradigmatic Model for Track and Field Development in Iraq: A Grounded Theory Approach
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This qualitative study developed a paradigmatic model for track and field development in Iraq. Track and field is a foundational Olympic discipline with potential to strengthen public health, youth development, sport culture, international representation, and sport diplomacy. However, its development in Iraq has been constrained by managerial instability, financial limitations, weak infrastructure, insufficient human resources, limited school-based talent identification, socio-cultural barriers, and political-security disruptions. Using the grounded theory approach of Strauss and Corbin, semi-structured interviews were conducted with 20 experts, including national and age-group coaches, Iraqi Athletics Federation officials, university faculty members, and international referees. Participants were selected through purposive and snowball sampling until theoretical saturation was reached. Data were analyzed in MAXQDA through open, axial, and selective coding. The analysis produced 177 open codes, 34 axial codes, and five selective categories. The final model included causal conditions, contextual conditions, intervening conditions, strategies, and consequences. Causal conditions consisted of managerial and financial challenges, infrastructure and human-resource limitations, and education and talent-development challenges. Contextual conditions comprised cultural-social, structural-demographic, and economic-organizational factors. Intervening conditions included political-security and temporary managerial-institutional influences. The proposed strategies included governance reform, human-resource development, talent identification, international engagement, media promotion, technology use, and infrastructure expansion. Expected outcomes included health and sport development, cultural and social development, economic and infrastructural development, and political-international development. The model indicates that sustainable track and field development in Iraq requires integrated intervention across governance, finance, education, culture, infrastructure, and international cooperation. |
Designing a Policy Implementation Model for Drug Control (A Collaborative Governance Approach)
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Participatory approaches provide a basis for the presence of citizens alongside governments in policy implementation and in the resolution of social problems. Because drug control is rooted in a deeply social context, it has substantial potential for the use of participatory approaches. Accordingly, the present study aimed to design a model for implementing drug control policies through a collaborative governance approach. The research used both qualitative and quantitative procedures and combined inductive and deductive reasoning. In terms of purpose, it was applied; in terms of nature and method, it was descriptive-survey. The statistical population consisted of 18 experts and informed specialists on the subject who were selected through purposive sampling. Data were collected through semi-structured interviews in the qualitative phase and through a questionnaire in the quantitative phase. Qualitative data were classified using grounded theory, and the quantitative phase validated the model through the fuzzy Delphi technique. Transferability in the qualitative phase was supported through systematic coding, and confirmability was strengthened through documentation and archiving of different coding stages, including initial coding. In the quantitative phase, reliability was assessed by the test-retest method and validity was examined through content validity. The qualitative findings produced 140 initial codes, 38 concepts, and 17 categories, which were positioned within the Strauss and Corbin grounded theory paradigm model. Based on the findings, the study recommends promoting civic demand-making in educational settings, emphasizing problem-oriented, legally aware, and contemporary civic education, conducting workshops on associational life, teaching principles of fairness, intergenerational responsibility and respect for human dignity, and implementing small-scale civic projects. |
A Thematic Model of Effective Coaching Skills Training for Sports Coaches in Tehran Province: A Qualitative Study
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Coach education is often treated mainly as technical instruction, although coaches also require communication, leadership, emotional self-regulation, reflective learning, ethical judgment, and contextual awareness. This qualitative study developed a thematic model of effective coaching skills training for sports coaches in Tehran Province. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 15 participants, including active coaches, sport education and sport management specialists, and academic experts in coach development. Participants were selected through purposive and snowball sampling until data adequacy was judged to have been reached. Data were analysed using a codebook-oriented thematic analysis informed by Braun and Clarke's six-phase procedure. The analysis generated eight themes: specialist and scientific coaching knowledge, communication and interpersonal skills, leadership and team-management competencies, emotional intelligence and self-regulation, experiential learning and reflection, career-path management and professional development, technology and innovative educational approaches, and contextual, cultural, and organizational factors. The model should be interpreted as a conceptual organization of interview-derived themes rather than as a tested causal model. The findings suggest that coach education in this context should move beyond short technical courses and include structured, continuous, reflective, ethically informed, and context-sensitive professional development. Potential implications for athlete-supportive practice and sport governance are discussed cautiously because athlete outcomes and governance effectiveness were not directly measured. |
Formulation and Determination of the Strengths, Weaknesses, Threats, and Opportunities Governing Swimming in Iraq
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The present study aimed to formulate and determine the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats governing children’s swimming in Iraq in order to provide practical strategies for the development of this fundamental and medal-winning sport. This applied descriptive-analytical study included sport managers, coaches, young swimmers, and physical education students in Iraq. A total of 134 participants were selected purposively. Data were collected through documentary studies, expert interviews, and a researcher-made questionnaire. The face and content validity of the questionnaire were confirmed, and its reliability, measured by Cronbach’s alpha, ranged from 0.85 to 0.92. Descriptive statistics, the Friedman test, Internal and External Factor Evaluation matrices, the Internal-External matrix, and SWOT analysis were used for data analysis. The results showed a significant difference among the four SWOT factors. The most important strengths included the existence of educational institutions related to physical education, the presence of specialized sport managers, and the existence of talented children and adolescents. The most important weaknesses included insufficient attention to children’s needs and interests, limited access to standard facilities, and lack of financial resources. The existence of potential talents, increased participation of children in sport activities, and expansion of sport events were identified as the most important opportunities. In addition, the increased cost of swimming pool maintenance, the rising price of equipment, and children’s tendency toward sedentary leisure activities were among the most important threats. Based on SWOT analysis, 11 strategies were formulated in four groups: aggressive, competitive, conservative, and defensive. The development of children’s swimming in Iraq requires strategic planning, coordination among sport and educational institutions, sustainable investment, and serious attention to children’s age-related needs. It is suggested that establishing an integrated talent identification system, training specialized coaches, and standardizing equipment and swimming pools for children should be prioritized in executive programs. |
A Progress-Oriented Assessment Model for Physical Literacy in Secondary School Physical Education: A Grounded Theory Study
Conventional assessment in school physical education frequently privileges short-term physical performance and fixed motor benchmarks. Such practices may underrepresent the cognitive, affective, and developmental dimensions that are central to physical literacy. This study aimed to develop a context-sensitive, progress-oriented assessment model for secondary school physical education based on the paradigm of physical literacy. A qualitative grounded theory design was used. Sixteen experts in curriculum studies and physical education were selected through purposive and snowball sampling. Data were collected through semi-structured interviews and analyzed through open, axial, and selective coding in MAXQDA. Trustworthiness was addressed through member checking, peer debriefing, audit-trail documentation, and constant comparison. The analysis generated 58 initial codes, 9 subcategories, and 3 overarching categories. The core phenomenon was the establishment of holistic, formative, and progress-oriented assessment. The model comprised causal conditions, including the need to broaden the goals of physical education; contextual conditions, including quantitative grading structures and unequal school infrastructure; intervening conditions, including the absence of formal protocols and the dominance of entrance-exam culture; strategies, including standardized rubrics, ipsative assessment, portfolios, self-assessment, peer assessment, and descriptive feedback; and expected consequences, including fairer grading, stronger teacher accountability, holistic student development, and increased physical self-efficacy. The proposed model reframes assessment from a mechanism for ranking students to a pedagogical process that supports learning, inclusion, and lifelong active living. A preliminary 60-20-20 weighting structure is proposed, with 60% allocated to psychomotor performance, 20% to cognitive knowledge, and 20% to affective-social competence. The weighting requires empirical validation, and implementation requires formal assessment protocols, teacher professional development, and infrastructure-sensitive interpretation of student progress.
About the Journal
Journal of Foresight and Health Governance is a peer-reviewed, open-access journal dedicated to advancing knowledge in the field of public health with a future-oriented perspective. The journal provides a platform for scholars, policymakers, and practitioners to explore emerging trends, innovations, and strategic solutions aimed at improving health outcomes at the individual, community, and societal levels. By integrating foresight methodologies with public health research, the journal seeks to anticipate future challenges, inform policy decisions, and promote sustainable healthcare systems.
Our mission is to bridge the gap between scientific research, policy, and practice by publishing high-quality, innovative, and interdisciplinary studies that address pressing global health concerns. We welcome contributions from diverse disciplines, including epidemiology, health policy, digital health, environmental health, health equity, and health technology, with a special focus on the long-term impact of societal transformations on public health.
The journal is committed to fostering academic integrity, encouraging open scientific dialogue, and supporting a global community of researchers and practitioners striving to enhance public health outcomes. Through our rigorous double-blind peer-review process, we ensure the publication of reliable, evidence-based research that meets the highest academic standards.